Mark Kerney should deliver Trump and economy after victory in Canada’s elections

Canada’s Banking Prime Minister removed a political miracle, which led to the abyss survey to a rare fourth term in power and to ensure higher government work after joining election policy only three months ago.

Mark Carney, the new leader of the country, told Canadians that He was the right person to confront President Trump And this, having an economic expertise, he knew how to increase the inept economy of the country and strengthen it in turbulent times.

Now he must actually do all this, and quickly when his country moves from a long period of political upheaval and faces the consequences of the trade war with his closest ally and economic Partner: USA.

A mess at home

When Mr. Kerney’s predecessor, Justin Trudeau announced in January that he would resign after 10 years leading Canada, he created a rare opportunity that Mr. Carney jumped on.

But after Mr. Kerney won the race to replace Mr. Trudeau in March as a Prime Minister and Liberal Party leader, he also inherited a disorderly situation, which he now has to take over.

The Canadian Parliament did not take place before Christmas, after Mr Trudeau suspended his activities to be able to hold a liberal election on the leadership who raised Mr. Carney.

As a result, the country is in political instability for months without being able to engage in the legislative program.

And Mr. Kerney does not yet have his own office – he made small changes to the one he inherited from Mr Trudeau, but he will most likely put his personal stamp of the government, choosing leading ministers now when he won the national election.

Mr. Carney will need to move quickly to win the necessary parliamentary allies and ensure the stability of his party, preventing it from becoming vulnerable to destruction through a vote without trust, which would cause new elections.

“The first business order is to obtain an office and a return of parliament as soon as possible,” said Matthew Holmes, the senior head of the Commerce and Industrial Chamber of Canada, which represents the interests of business.

“We need to see how the Prime Minister went and quickly moved to the legislation,” said Mr Holmes. “There is no honeymoon for this prime minister.”

Stability now

The key step of the Canadians who worked in favor of Mr. Kerney on the electoral box was that he was the right leader to focus on the re -ordering of global trade and security, pushed by Mr. Trump.

Mr. Kerney’s past experience leading large institutions through shocks, including the Bank of England through Brexit, has been key in convincing many Canadians who supported him that his powers were agreed to the challenges that Canada faced.

Canadian enterprises seek Mr. Carney to restore a sense of order to trade with the United States. Mr. Trump’s tariffs for Canadian goods were a moving target, the administration delayed some fees, applying new ones without a sense of holistic economic justification. This resulted in the investment stop in the private sector in Canada, said Mr. Holmes. Mr. Carney should contact this immediately, he said.

“Capital is frozen and paralyzed, watching how the Trade War is playing and does not know what the future will be,” Mr Holmes said. “He needs to introduce certainty in that.”

Anti-shack

Mr. Kerney’s framing in his campaign around Mr. Trump’s threat lifted him to a global figure against Trump. He is the first chief leader to be chosen by a clearly contraindicated campaign after Mr. Trump’s re -election.

“As I warned for months, America wants our land, our resources, our water,” said Mr. Carney, supporters gathered in Ottawa, the capital of Canada, in the first hours of Tuesday to celebrate his victory. “President Trump tries to break us so that he can own us. It will never happen,” he added when the crowd was book.

Later on Tuesday, two men talked on the phone, stated their offices and agreed to meet in the near future.

Mr. Kerney’s fiery rhetoric can prove the problem if two leaders talk personally. Mr. Carni said he wanted to gain respect for Mr. Trump, as well as open to discussing what future relationships between the two countries on various issues, including trade and security, would look like.

“There is an appetite in the West to find a figure against Trump to take over the mantle of the free world leader,” said Stephen Vertim, a senior employee of Carnegie Endowment for international peace. “I think it’s a dangerous offer.”

“From a minute of the media, they begin to risk a foreign leader as a global resistance hand to the barrel, which will set the goal on the back of this leader,” Mr. Vertim added.

Mr. Carni will probably impress a more nuanced tone behind closed doors with Mr. Trump, but the Canadian public will seek confrontation and pride that he promised on a campaign trace.

And the fact remains that the United States has set tariffs on key Canadian sectors, as well as the auto industry, and that Mr. Trump continues to say regularly that Canada wants 51 staff, Including on Canada’s election day.

Mr. Vertim said Mr. Carney should ignore the threats and focus on hitting the deal. “I think Kerney should not fix the threat of annexation too much,” he said. “If Trump makes him, it will probably be half a joke, and the punishment should wrap it straight back and smile.”

Playing in the master

The early test of Mr. Carney’s ability to manage the case with Mr. Trump will take place when he accepts the summit of group 7 industrialized economics leaders in Cananaskis, Alberta, in June.

Mr. Trump is expected to visit and find itself among the nearest allies of America, all of whom were amazed by the US tariffs.

Mr. Carney, on the contrary, will be among friends, in his own yard. He has a personal relationship with President Emmanuel Macron from France and Prime Minister Cyrus Star from Britain, and seeks to agree on military expenses Consult Ursula von Der Leen, a leading European Union official.

It is unclear that if something is resolved at the summit, since such global fees are usually concerned with coordinating policy at a higher level, and they do not give anything specific.

And all, there is a small margin for error. For the last time, when Mr. Trump attended the G7 Summit in Canada, he had a blast with Mr Trudeau, left without signing a joint anodine communique, and then called Mr Trudeau “two”.

Mr. Carney will need to put an event closely to try to prevent any unpleasant.

“The G7 leaders Sumith in June will really form an early assessment of his success,” Mr Holmes said. “This is what he has agitated that he could cope with a very complex geopolitical international situation.”